Forecasting & Prediction

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Vladimir_Nesov /* Blog posts */ fixed {{lesswrongtag}} usage
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Rubyv1.7.0Apr 16th 2020 (-139)

Above all, don’t ask what to believe—ask what to anticipate. Every question of belief should flow from a question of anticipation, and that question of anticipation should be the center of the inquiry. Every guess of belief should begin by flowing to a specific guess of anticipation, and should continue to pay rent in future anticipations. – Making Beliefs Pay Rent

Rubyv1.5.0Apr 16th 2020 (+367)

Above all, don’t ask what to believe—ask what to anticipate. Every question of belief should flow from a question of anticipation, and that question of anticipation should be the center of the inquiry. Every guess of belief should begin by flowing to a specific guess of anticipation, and should continue to pay rent in future anticipations. – Making Beliefs Pay Rent

Rubyv1.4.0Apr 16th 2020 (+9/-15)

Forecasting or Predicting is the act of making statements about what will happen in the future (and in some cases, the past). This tag is for discussion of the practice, skill, and methodology of forecasting. Posts exclusively containing object-level lists of forecasts and predictions are in Forecasts. Also related is Related: Betting.

Rubyv1.3.0Apr 16th 2020 (+169/-113)

Forecasting or Predicting is the act of making statements about what will happen in the future (and in some cases, the past). This tag is for all instancesdiscussion of people makingthe practice, skill, and methodology of forecasting. Posts exclusively containing object-level lists of forecasts and predictions at the object level or discussing prediction methods and performance at the meta level.are in Forecasts. Also related is Betting.

Rubyv1.1.0Apr 11th 2020 (+224/-312)

A predictionForecasting or Predicting is a statement or claim that a particular eventthe act of making statements about what will occurhappen in the future (and in more certain terms than a forecastsome cases, the past).

Blog posts

See also

External links

PredictionBook, a website that keeps track This tag is for all instances of people making predictions at the object level or discussing prediction methods and calibration levelsperformance at the meta level.

Grognorv0.0.11Mar 10th 2012 (+163)

A prediction is a statement or claim that a particular event will occur in the future in more certain terms than a forecast.

Blog posts

See also

External links

PredictionBook, a website that keeps track of predictions and calibration levels

Zack_M_Davisv0.0.9Nov 17th 2009 (-21) byline removal

A prediction is a statement or claim that a particular event will occur in the future in more certain terms than a forecast.

Blog posts

See also

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